Betting On Grexit

Betting On Grexit

A uppercase flying machinery I hadn't catch of, from  Hans-Werner Sinn (HT Marginal revolution)
Basically, Greek citizens conduct keep out loans from local banks, funded largely past times the Greek primal bank, which acquires funds through the European Central Bank’s emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) scheme. They in addition to then transfer the coin to other countries to buy unusual assets (or redeem their debts),... 
 In Jan in addition to February, Greece’s TARGET debts increased past times close €1 billion ($1.1 billion) per day, owing to uppercase flying past times Greek citizens in addition to unusual investors. At the cease of April, those debts amounted to €99 billion. 
I knew Greeks are taking coin out of banking concern deposits, in addition to parking it abroad, in addition to that inwards the cease this coin came from the ECB. When a Greek depositor wants his or her money, the Greek banking concern gets it from the Greek primal bank, who gets it from the ECB, which prints it (metaphorically). It had non occurred to me that of class borrowing every cent yous tin from a Greek banking concern in addition to parking it abroad is simply every bit smart.

Of course, If Hellenic Republic leaves the Euro, the Greek primal banking concern goes bust, the ECB loses in addition to Greek borrowers or ex-depositors popular off along their euros.

Hans-Werner seems to mean value uppercase controls are a practiced catch to halt this run. I mean value the probable imposition of uppercase controls is simply why people are running inwards the get-go place. Similarly, if both Hellenic Republic in addition to Europe were to credibly tell that Greek authorities default volition non hateful leaving the euro that would likewise halt the run.

But intelligence for the hateful solar daytime is this interesting run on the borrowing side, non simply the depositor side.
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