Greece Again

Greece Again

I read this morning's intelligence of a bargain -- we'll encounter how long it lasts -- amongst interest. Here's a video central amongst Rick Santelli on the champaign of study on CNBC (I can't appear to larn the embed to work, thence you lot direct keep to click the link.)

My principal thought: what nearly the banks? The infinitesimal Hellenic Republic reopens its banks, it's a fair bet that every somebody inwards Hellenic Republic volition directly caput to the banking concern in addition to larn every cent out. The banks' assets are largely Greek loans, which many aren't paying -- why pay a mortgage to a banking concern that's already unopen in addition to volition in all probability live out of occupation organisation presently anyway -- in addition to Greek regime debt; by in addition to large Treasury bills that exclusively curlicue over because banks concord them. They can't sell either, thence the banks volition instantly live out of cash.

The bargain reported inwards today's papers actually barely mentions that problem. But that is the occupation of the hour.


Hellenic Republic is basically off the euro now. Being inwards the euro does non hateful that restaurants direct keep euros. Being inwards the eurozone agency that banks utilisation euros, that you lot tin direct keep euros out in addition to adjust international transfers using euros.

The economic scheme is paralyzed. The principal thing a bargain needs is a trend to reopen banks inwards a thing of days. Privatization in addition to undertaking laws are fine, simply that generates increase a twelvemonth from at nowadays at best. And raising taxes? They must live kidding.

I've read amongst involvement roughly proposals that the European Union direct keep over the banks. The European Union takes on the bad assets, gives or sells the residual to large international banks, in addition to these operate nether European Union rules -- non Greek regulators; they can't purchase whatever Greek debt, in addition to Hellenic Republic can't taxation them.  It's expensive, yes, simply it's basically every bit shoot-the-hostage approach. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 surgical operation economic scheme would assistance Greek finances. And thence the European Union tin allow the Greek regime default if it wishes.  Saving the banks powerfulness live a lot cheaper than saving the Greek regime in addition to the banks.

There are 2 master copy sins inwards the euro, neither having to produce amongst financial union. The kickoff is that each soil has its ain banks, in addition to each regime uses its banks every bit piggybanks to materials amongst regime debt. European banking concern regulators in addition to Basel regulations process sovereign debt every bit adventure free. Then, if the regime defaults, the whole banking organisation is dragged downward amongst it. The mo is the endlessly repeated fallacy that regime default agency the soil must alter the units of its currency. If Chicago defaults on its debts, nobody thinks it must innovate a novel currency, or that Chicago's banks volition fail.

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 currency spousal human relationship needs a banking union, or at to the lowest degree banks that are non stuffed amongst regime debt. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 currency spousal human relationship needs to allow sovereigns default without changing currencies or paralyzing the banking in addition to payments system. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 currency spousal human relationship needs a banking union.
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